Case Study:
Upskilling in Private Equity During a Recession - A Strategy for Long-Term Payoffs

Written By: Gerald O’Dwyer III 

The PE Guru — Blackmore Partners, Inc | September 5, 2024

Introduction

In times of economic recession, it is easy for executives to feel uncertain about the future. However, for those with the vision to invest in their private equity (PE) upskilling, the recession presents a unique opportunity. This case study explores the compelling reasons for executives to prioritize private equity upskilling during economic downturns, emphasizing the massive paybacks both financially and professionally. We provide detailed data and insights that demonstrate how even during a recession, upskilling in PE can result in significant returns.

 

The Power of Investing in PE Knowledge

Executives in a downturn are often tempted to conserve resources and reduce risks. However, by strategically investing in private equity upskilling, they can position themselves to capitalize on the eventual market recovery. The statistics are clear: in the five years following the 2008-09 recession, private equity outperformed other asset classes, delivering an average annual return of 13.2% versus 8.7% for public markets .

Private equity is a $13 trillion market, with opportunities for executives to transition from traditional corporate roles into leadership positions that can yield multimillion-dollar equity payouts. One of the key points highlighted is the shift from a W2 salary-based income model to an equity-based model. For example, executives in PE-backed firms can earn substantial payouts during successful exits, often realizing gains in the range of $6 million to $20 million under long-term capital gains tax rates.

 

Case Study: An Executive’s Journey from Corporate to PE

Consider the case of John, a seasoned executive from the corporate world. John had been earning $350,000 annually with bonuses at a public company but was facing stagnant growth prospects due to the economic downturn. Rather than wait for the market to improve, John decided to invest in his PE upskilling through Blackmore Partners’ Executive Deal Thesis Workshops and the BlackmoreConnects network.

By attending three workshops, John not only learned the intricacies of deal theses but also built relationships with over 200 PE firms. He joined BlackmoreConnects’ virtual conferences, where he presented his deal thesis for a potential acquisition in the fragmented industrial components sector. Within six months, John secured an Operating Partner role with a PE-backed portfolio company, earning a base salary of $400,000, a $150,000 bonus, and 5% equity in a company projected to exit in four years.

Using a conservative exit multiple of 7x EBITDA, John stood to earn $8.5 million from his equity stake at exit—a monumental return on his investment of time and resources during the recession.

 

The Financial Payoff: A Look at the Numbers

Let’s break down the potential financial payoff for executives who choose to invest in PE upskilling during a recession. The following table demonstrates the conservative growth assumptions based on real-world data:

Year

Base Salary

Bonus

Equity

Projected Exit Value

Cumulative Earnings

1

$400,000

$150,000

$0

$0

$550,000

2

$420,000

$157,500

5% Equity

$7.5M – $10M EBITDA * 7x

$8.85M (Equity) + Salary

3

$440,000

$165,000

$9.615M

4 (Exit Year)

$460,000

$172,500

$9.775M+

This scenario demonstrates a cumulative earnings potential of over $9.7 million within four years, with $8.5 million coming directly from the equity payout—a 17x return on his initial income base of $550,000.

 

The Role of Deal Thesis and Strategic Networking

The Deal Thesis Workshops offered by Blackmore Partners were instrumental in John’s journey. These workshops emphasized the critical thinking needed to craft a deal thesis that resonates with PE firms, highlighting potential adjacencies for growth and identifying value creation opportunities.

John leveraged the BlackmoreConnects conference to expand his network, attending sessions designed to connect executives directly with PE firms. These conferences operate on a measurable and repeatable process, ensuring that executives have tangible outcomes such as interviews, offers, or introductions by the end of the event.

 

Strategic Insights: Reducing Risk with PE Upskilling

Blackmore Partners and BlackmoreConnects provide executives with a roadmap that reduces risk during recessions through structured learning and powerful networking. The benefits of PE upskilling during downturns include:

  • Increased Exposure: Virtual conferences introduce executives to decision-makers at over 200 PE firms across various sectors.
  • Faster Transitions: Executives can transition from traditional roles to equity-based roles in as little as six months, accelerating income potential.
  • Resilience Training: The workshops emphasize the importance of adaptability and strategy, teaching executives how to pivot and grow even in uncertain economic climates.

Executives who engage in these upskilling programs often discover adjacencies in industries they hadn’t previously considered. For instance, a packaging executive attending a BlackmoreConnects event was able to identify an adjacent opportunity in sustainable packaging, leading to an acquisition target that ultimately resulted in a successful PE-backed buyout.

 

Conclusion: Huge Paybacks During Economic Downturns

The compelling evidence shows that executives who invest in their private equity upskilling during recessions are positioning themselves for significant payoffs. Not only does PE upskilling open doors to higher-paying roles with equity stakes, but it also equips executives with the skills and network needed to thrive in an increasingly competitive market.

For John, the decision to invest time and resources into Blackmore Partners’ programs during a recession led to an exponential increase in his wealth. Executives who are considering upskilling in private equity should understand that even during downturns, the return on investment can be substantial—with potential exits providing equity payouts that dwarf traditional salary earnings.

 

Call to Action: Invest in Your Future Now

Blackmore Partners and BlackmoreConnects offer the tools, network, and knowledge executives need to take the leap into private equity. During recessions, when opportunities are ripe for the taking, upskilling with the right guidance can lead to significant long-term financial rewards. Don’t wait—act now to position yourself for success in the PE space.

This case study outlines the key benefits, evidence, and strategy behind PE upskilling during an economic downturn, emphasizing the massive potential paybacks and the value of programs like Blackmore Partners’ Executive Deal Thesis Workshops.